Forex Today: Japanese Yen extends rally, Oil prices climb higher

The Japanese Yen extends its rally as markets price an aggressive Bank of Japan tightening cycle, while oil prices climb amid persistent Middle East supply risks.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) extended its rally against major currencies on Tuesday, with USD/JPY trading below 154.00 and reaching its strongest level against the US Dollar since mid-February. EUR/JPY was near 178.75 while GBP/JPY moved toward 208.00, with all three pairs down more than 1% so far this week.
Markets continue to price an aggressive Bank of Japan policy-tightening cycle. Strong Japanese wage data has strengthened the case for a BoJ rate hike at next week's meeting, with real wages rising 2.4% year-on-year in July and total cash earnings increasing 4.7%.
Oil prices are also moving higher as tensions in the Middle East remain elevated. WTI gained about 1.4% on Tuesday after rising more than 1.5% on Monday, trading above $92. Fragile traffic through the Strait of Hormuz is adding to concerns about energy supply and keeping oil-market risk premia elevated.
Gold remains range-bound around $4,400, while AUD/USD consolidates above 0.7200. EUR/USD holds above 1.1600 despite edging lower, and GBP/USD remains below 1.3550 as markets assess the UK's fiscal outlook.
With no major high-impact macroeconomic releases scheduled for Tuesday, traders are likely to focus on central-bank signals, Japanese policy expectations, geopolitical developments and oil-price moves for the next direction in major FX pairs.
Key Takeaways
- The Japanese Yen is extending its rally as BoJ tightening expectations strengthen.
- USD/JPY is trading below 154.00 and has reached its highest level against the USD since mid-February.
- Strong Japanese wage growth is reinforcing expectations for a BoJ rate hike next week.
- WTI oil is trading above $92 as Middle East supply risks persist.
- EUR/USD remains above 1.1600 while GBP/USD stays below 1.3550.
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